Dean Bubley: Reverse-engineering Ericsson's mobile data numbers

Reverse-engineering Ericsson's mobile data numbers: "Now, putting its various numbers into a spreadsheet yields some other (estimated) figures of my own calculation
- If I assume that growth in traffic for 2011-2012 falls to 80% from 99% the previous year, and taking their 15x growth from 2011-2017, brings down the global 5-year CAGR figure from 2012-2017 to 53%
- This compares with Cisco's 2011-2016 Mobile VNI forecasts [5 year] of 18x traffic growth
- In general, Cisco's forecasts are considerably more aggressive than Ericssons. The difference (hat-tip to Tim Farrar here) is mostly in the assumptions on average smartphone data use towards the end of the period
-  Then, reconstructing the regional breakdowns from the piecharts & reformulating the CAGRs, I reckon we have my best estimates as:
Western Europe Mobile Data Traffic CAGR 2012-2017 = 45%
North America Mobile Data Traffic CAGR 2012-2017 = 42%
Other global regions are 56-62% CAGR"
'via Blog this'

One court order could gag EVERY ISP in Denmark • The Register

One court order could gag EVERY ISP in Denmark • The Register: "Internet service providers (ISPs) and copyright holders in Denmark have agreed on a framework that would see all ISPs in the country block access to copyright-infringing content if one of the providers is ordered to do so by a court. The Danish Ministry of Culture said that it would work with ISPs and rights holders groups to develop a new "written Code of Conduct" that would "formalise" the agreement on content blocking." End of costly court proceedings - and due process?
'via Blog this'

What's wrong with BEREC data: Alissa Cooper

Digging into Traffic Management in Europe : Alissa Cooper: "In some ways the BEREC report is more notable for what it does not say than for what it does say.... operator-specific information is nowhere to be found in the report. The report likewise omits country-level data, instead presenting aggregations of national markets that reveal little about the prevalence of application restrictions in larger or smaller countries, or those where national regulatory authorities have been more or less active, for example. For all their talk about transparency, it seems at least a bit odd for the European regulatory authorities to be sitting on the very information whose disclosure they have been persistently calling for."
'via Blog this'

Wikileaks reveals ITU Treaty proposals

As the agency is so opaquely unfit for purpose as a 21st century governance institution for the Internet, thank the gods for Wikileaks' version. Note agencies have to provide for both best-efforts and QoS - guess which one ETNO and other monopolists prefer?!
'via Blog this'

10th anniversary SCRIPT conference: Does net neutrality really matter?

Off to Edinburgh to celebrate 10 years of SCRIPT (which almost single-handedly kept academic UK cyberlaw alive in the desperate early 2000s) after the Jubilee bread-and-circuses 4 days, granted by our own Nero.
Does it matter? Well, yes - and my first peer-reviewed article on NN was published in the excellent SCRIPT-Ed, though less so in Germany, where friends from Munster told me that BNetZ continues to drink the perfect competition Kool-Aid.
Panel with Frode Sorensen and Prof. Simon Schlauri - I will try to live-blog when I'm not speaking...

Reality check - what BEREC can't tell you

Here's a refreshing burst of reality from the UK's only fibre-coax ISP - the fastest UK ISP has provisioning nightmares and has cheated customers out of a Spotify upgrade through its own incompetence, thus also shooting itself in the foot. Oh, did I mention this is about the best ISP in Europe on QoS...

Totally distorted European internal market for QoS

You might recall that the Article 22 QoS requirements were put in back in 2008 to a large extent to avoid a distorted marke in which European SMEs and home-workers in one market had an entirely different Internet experience than fellow citizens in another.
Well, the most interesting outcome from the BEREC snapshot (full report next EC Implementation Report, to actuually fulfill their legal requirement from 2010?), is that Europe is torn down the middle, with 40% of broadband and 57% of mobile consumers subject to restrictions, and about 10% subject to continuous restrictions. Is this not fragmenting the Internal Market?